The Nations Numeracy …

… a lament.
Estimate the answer

May half term. And its raining. But never mind, I’m sat enjoying a leisurely breakfast of toast & marmite, and listening to Radio 5 – Live, a simple pleasure, but one that I enjoy in my hols.

Today’s discussion and phone in is about smoking, and whether the cost of a packet of cigarettes should be raised to £20 to discourage the habit.

The presenter, Nicky Campbell, is leading a lively discussion with members of the public who have phoned in to express their opinions. He asks the question:

Tot up 20 quid a day, 365 days a year, how much is that?

I do a quick calculation in my head: “365 days a year, lets call that 350, so 350 times 20. To times by 20, double it (times by 2) and add a nought on the end – Seven thousand, 20 quid a day for a year is roughly £7,000.”

But that’s not what I hear over the airways:

I’m sure I’ve got a calculator on my phone here

says Nicky.  One of the guests got their excuses in early:

I’m mathematically dyslexic

and the discussion moves on.

Five minutes later, and a calculator has obviously been found and the answer handed to Nicky:

A quick calculation, it’s £7300, actually

said with real surprise in his voice, before adding:

We’re not mathematicians here, we’re journalists.

No one would be expected to do 365 x 20 in their heads, live on radio, but the ability to estimate an answer to such a question is not a difficult skill, but it is a hugely important skill and it saddens me that it seems so difficult and causes panic amongst so many.

The ability to estimate a ball-park answer to a simple sum is a skill that can be learnt and will be useful throughout life. A year or so ago, I created my Estimate the Answer game to help me help teach my classes how to round to a significant figure and come up with a reasonable estimated answer.  Perhaps it also ought to be required training for BBC radio presenters, too!

Nicky Campbell – I love your show, and hope you don’t mind my little whinge, but it’s a bug-bear of mine, the need to reach for a calculator as soon as any numbers are mentioned.

We’re not mathematicians here, we’re journalists.

They don’t have to be mutually exclusive you know.

This entry was posted in Maths Fail, Numeracy and tagged . Bookmark the permalink. Post a comment or leave a trackback: Trackback URL.

One Comment